Maximum Likelihood Estimation on Time Scales

Presenter Information

Scott FerrellFollow

University

Shawnee State University

Major

Mathematical Science with Actuarial Concentration

Student Type

Undergraduate Student

Presentation Types

Poster Presentation

Keywords:

Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Time Scales, Probability

Abstract

When developing a probabilistic model for independently sampled data, good estimates for the parameters of the potential models are critical. One method for finding good estimates is the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which uses calculus techniques to maximize the probability of obtaining the observed data for varying values of the underlying parameter. Time scales, closed subsets of the real line, have recently arisen and provide a means to understand classical probability distributions as special cases of more general distributions on time scales. So, while the classical exponential distribution is valued on , and the geometric distribution on , both can be seen as special cases of a more general “time scales exponential” distribution. We find general formulas for the MLEs for the parameters of the time scale exponential and time scales uniform distributions and see how their MLEs compare both algebraically and computationally to the MLEs of the classical distributions.

Human Subjects

no

IRB Approval

yes

Faculty Mentor Name

David DeSario

Faculty Mentor Title

Associate Professor

Faculty Mentor Academic Department

Mathematical Sciences

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Maximum Likelihood Estimation on Time Scales

When developing a probabilistic model for independently sampled data, good estimates for the parameters of the potential models are critical. One method for finding good estimates is the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which uses calculus techniques to maximize the probability of obtaining the observed data for varying values of the underlying parameter. Time scales, closed subsets of the real line, have recently arisen and provide a means to understand classical probability distributions as special cases of more general distributions on time scales. So, while the classical exponential distribution is valued on , and the geometric distribution on , both can be seen as special cases of a more general “time scales exponential” distribution. We find general formulas for the MLEs for the parameters of the time scale exponential and time scales uniform distributions and see how their MLEs compare both algebraically and computationally to the MLEs of the classical distributions.